Syrian elections

An ACRPS opinion poll of Syrian refugees and displaced persons in Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon, and within Syria along the Syrian-Turkish border found that 78% of respondents


 
Report
 

view the June 3 presidential elections planned by the Syrian regime to be illegitimate. In contrast, only 17% of the respondents accepted the legitimacy of the poll, with a further 5% of the respondents declining to give an opinion.  The ACRPS survey is unprecedented in both scope and scale. A total of 5,267 respondents, coming from 377 population centers inside and outside official refugee camps registered by the United Nations High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR), took part in the survey. The sampling procedure adopted a multi-staged clustered approach to allow for a proportional distribution of surveys as per geographic distribution. The final margin of error for the survey findings is an estimated.

Refugee and displaced persons population centers, by country. 

Country No. of refugee population centers 
Turkey151
Lebanon
101
Jordan102
Adjacent to the Syrian-Turksih border (Internally displaced persons)23
Total377


In order to carry out the survey, the ACRPS worked with a number of partner organizations in the countries hosting Syrian refugees. These include Statistics Lebanon in Lebanon for Syrian refugee population centers throughout Lebanon, where there are no recognized camps, and the Center for Strategic Studies based at the University of Jordan in Amman for Syrian refugees living outside of UNHCR-registered refugee camps. Within Jordan’s officially recognized camps and all Syrian refugee population centers in Turkey and on the Syrian-Turkish border, the ACRPS took direct responsibility for the conduct of the survey. Overall, more than 400 fieldworkers contributed to this survey, all of whom had taken part in 10 individual training workshops convened by the ACRPS in Lebanon, Jordan, and Turkey. The findings presented below provide a breakdown of Syrian refugees’ attitudes toward the presidential elections held by the Syrian regime on June 3, 2014, the best possible resolution to the Syrian crisis more broadly, and the fate of Bashar al-Assad and his term in office.